Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.020249 2.309606 2.626077 2.997964 3.423131 3.894205 4.455995
2024-12-22 1.564171 1.953209 2.417542 3.012931 3.756824 4.656616 5.829373
2024-12-29 1.315955 1.746832 2.293180 3.037491 4.026659 5.298466 7.062086
2025-01-05 1.112230 1.551846 2.137472 2.975781 4.147544 5.731319 8.042038
2025-01-12 0.955939 1.392529 1.999493 2.906421 4.230804 6.100186 8.950746
2025-01-19 0.825849 1.250201 1.863065 2.814590 4.259553 6.379825 9.743455
2025-01-26 0.790114 1.239298 1.911230 2.992056 4.693811 7.282096 11.541380
2025-02-02 0.758490 1.229429 1.957216 3.166949 5.136655 8.233919 13.507261
2025-02-09 0.720211 1.203732 1.974020 3.294280 5.512441 9.110742 15.435556
2025-02-16 0.671544 1.155166 1.947917 3.346414 5.766346 9.808680 17.130460
2025-02-23 0.608626 1.075696 1.862164 3.287787 5.824215 10.179890 18.295973
2025-03-02 0.562154 1.019611 1.809914 3.280182 5.966540 10.703300 19.772260
2025-03-09 0.524222 0.975888 1.776595 3.305684 6.175368 11.372035 21.597593
2025-03-16 0.488300 0.932324 1.739505 3.320702 6.366620 12.027517 23.467845
2025-03-23 0.457802 0.895628 1.710994 3.347834 6.581128 12.742408 25.518421
2025-03-30 0.418414 0.837826 1.637130 3.279751 6.603359 13.090100 26.876452
2025-04-06 0.382183 0.782628 1.562952 3.203231 6.599965 13.384391 28.150823
2025-04-13 0.346943 0.725989 1.480636 3.101922 6.535348 13.547814 29.165856
2025-04-20 0.345718 0.739263 1.539800 3.297706 7.104995 15.057103 33.181820
2025-04-27 0.343629 0.750419 1.595364 3.490664 7.686165 16.642101 37.519161
2025-05-04 0.336332 0.749590 1.625502 3.631152 8.165885 18.052517 41.607450
2025-05-11 0.322131 0.732197 1.618479 3.688676 8.466090 19.096669 44.964466
2025-05-18 0.299064 0.692737 1.559717 3.623988 8.482459 19.508032 46.888278